1 00:00:11,830 --> 00:00:09,030 ozone is the earth's natural sunscreen 2 00:00:14,230 --> 00:00:11,840 it screens ultraviolet radiation if 3 00:00:15,589 --> 00:00:14,240 there's less ozone more uv radiation 4 00:00:18,230 --> 00:00:15,599 gets to the earth 5 00:00:22,150 --> 00:00:18,240 if there's more ozone less uv radiation 6 00:00:25,269 --> 00:00:23,429 there are a few ingredients to the 7 00:00:27,189 --> 00:00:25,279 antarctic ozone hole the first 8 00:00:29,750 --> 00:00:27,199 ingredient is you have to have 9 00:00:31,109 --> 00:00:29,760 very high levels of chlorine and bromine 10 00:00:32,950 --> 00:00:31,119 in fact if you made a measurement now 11 00:00:35,110 --> 00:00:32,960 you'd find that about 80 percent of the 12 00:00:37,030 --> 00:00:35,120 chlorine over antarctica is from human 13 00:00:40,470 --> 00:00:37,040 produced compounds chlorofluorocarbons 14 00:00:44,470 --> 00:00:41,910 the second ingredient is you have to 15 00:00:47,670 --> 00:00:44,480 have very cold temperatures over 16 00:00:50,389 --> 00:00:47,680 antarctica about 10 miles up or so it 17 00:00:53,029 --> 00:00:50,399 gets extremely cold and in those cold 18 00:00:54,950 --> 00:00:53,039 conditions you form fairly exotic clouds 19 00:00:57,350 --> 00:00:54,960 what we call polar stratospheric clouds 20 00:01:02,470 --> 00:00:57,360 and you will release this chlorine down 21 00:01:05,910 --> 00:01:04,070 the third ingredient is you need a 22 00:01:08,149 --> 00:01:05,920 little bit of sunlight the sunlight 23 00:01:10,310 --> 00:01:08,159 appears over antarctica in august 24 00:01:12,310 --> 00:01:10,320 september and just that little bit of 25 00:01:14,390 --> 00:01:12,320 light provides the energy to drive 26 00:01:16,070 --> 00:01:14,400 what's called the catalytic reaction in 27 00:01:17,350 --> 00:01:16,080 which one chlorine 28 00:01:20,550 --> 00:01:17,360 molecule 29 00:01:23,510 --> 00:01:20,560 can destroy thousands and thousands of 30 00:01:25,670 --> 00:01:23,520 ozone molecules until finally 31 00:01:34,870 --> 00:01:25,680 100 percent of the ozone in that layer 32 00:01:38,789 --> 00:01:37,190 there is a question of how will 33 00:01:41,350 --> 00:01:38,799 climate change affect the antarctic 34 00:01:42,950 --> 00:01:41,360 ozone hole and in fact there's some 35 00:01:44,230 --> 00:01:42,960 questions about whether as it gets 36 00:01:46,550 --> 00:01:44,240 colder 37 00:01:48,069 --> 00:01:46,560 you can make the ozone hole last longer 38 00:01:49,590 --> 00:01:48,079 we don't have a good answer for that 39 00:01:51,429 --> 00:01:49,600 right now 40 00:01:53,270 --> 00:01:51,439 so we don't actually know what's going 41 00:01:55,670 --> 00:01:53,280 to happen so that's a real hot research 42 00:01:57,749 --> 00:01:55,680 topic 43 00:01:59,590 --> 00:01:57,759 our current predictions right now 44 00:02:01,990 --> 00:01:59,600 is that the ozone hole will be back to a 45 00:02:04,550 --> 00:02:02,000 level we saw in 1980 in the year of 46 00:02:06,789 --> 00:02:04,560 about 2070. for about the next 10 years 47 00:02:09,990 --> 00:02:06,799 or so we'll see very large ozone holes 48 00:02:11,270 --> 00:02:10,000 and then after about 2017 2018 in there 49 00:02:13,990 --> 00:02:11,280 they'll start getting smaller and